EFL Trophy | Second Round

Nov 23, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 1
Barnsley

Politic (14'), Worrall (27')
Pett (33')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Edwards (73')
Kitching (45+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Trophy clash between Port Vale and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Barnsley 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Port Vale 0-1 Barnsley

It was a closely-fought encounter the last time these two sides met, with nothing being able to split them on that day. However, Barnsley have been in good form recently and should possess the quality to edge into the next round by a one-goal margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Barnsley had a probability of 25.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Barnsley win it was 0-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Barnsley
49.11% ( 0.13)	25.84% ( 0.08)	25.05% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 49.38% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.06% (

-0.46)

53.94% (

0.46)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.61% (

-0.39)

75.39% (

0.39)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.01% (

-0.14)

21.99% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.71% (

-0.21)

55.29% (

0.2)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.3% (

-0.44)

36.7% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.51% (

-0.44)

73.48% (

0.44)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 49.11%

Barnsley 25.05%

Draw 25.83%

Port Vale	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 4.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 49.11%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.83%	0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.05%