EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7pm UK

County Ground

Swindon
0 - 1
Exeter

FT(HT: 0-1)

Wildschut (6')
Diabate (82'), Harper (83')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Harrogate 1-1 Swindon
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Fleetwood 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.31%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Exeter City
44.81% ( -0.01)	22.53% ( 0.01)	32.66% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 65.92% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.4% (

-0.08)

34.6% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.45% (

-0.09)

56.54% (

0.08)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.95% (

-0.03)

16.05% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.59% (

-0.06)

45.4% (

0.06)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.52% (

-0.04)

21.48% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.48% (

-0.06)

54.52% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 44.81%

Exeter City 32.66%

Draw 22.53%

Swindon Town	Draw	Exeter City
2-1 @ 8.87% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 44.81%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 7.46% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.47% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 32.66%