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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Almere City had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Almere City win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
29.19% ( 0.16) | 24.95% ( 0.03) | 45.85% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 55.36% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% ( -0.04) | 47.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% ( -0.03) | 69.85% ( 0.03) |
Almere City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.92% ( 0.1) | 30.08% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.78% ( 0.12) | 66.21% ( -0.12) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.17% ( -0.1) | 20.83% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.5% ( -0.16) | 53.5% ( 0.16) |
Score Analysis |
Almere City | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.18% Total : 29.19% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.71% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 45.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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