Form often goes out of the window during a derby clash, however Feyenoord's positive run of late is too good to ignore, and the hosts should be confident of earning maximum points.
The hostile home of their local rivals would be a perfect place for Sparta to get their top-eight aims back on track, although we cannot envisage anything other than a loss for the visitors on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 64.23%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Feyenoord in this match.
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