Eredivisie | Gameweek 34

May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Euroborg

Groningen
0 - 5
Sparta

Dybvik Maatta (26')
Musampa (24')

FT(HT: 0-1)

de Guzman (25'), Saito (58'), Verschueren (75'), Lauritsen (79'), van Crooij (89' pen.)
Vriends (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Groningen

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 6-0 Groningen
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: Sparta 4-1 Cambuur
Sunday, May 21 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

We said: Groningen 0-2 Sparta Rotterdam

With their respective regular campaigns already decided, Groningen and Sparta Rotterdam will be simply playing for pride at this point. The hosts' form is currently nothing to write home about and we fancy Steijn's men claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
32.3% ( -1.58)	25.87% ( 0.63)	41.83% ( 0.95)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

-2.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7% (

-3.14)

50.3% (

3.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

-2.85)

72.24% (

2.85)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

-2.53)

29.28% (

2.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.75% (

-3.22)

65.25% (

3.22)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

-0.9)

23.84% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

-1.31)

58.01% (

1.31)

Score Analysis

Groningen 32.3%

Sparta Rotterdam 41.82%

Draw 25.87%

Groningen	Draw	Sparta Rotterdam
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.3%	1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87%	0-1 @ 10% ( 0.97) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.82%