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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 17.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Groningen win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | Groningen |
60.01% ( -0.03) | 22.41% ( 0.01) | 17.58% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 49.34% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.25% ( -0) | 48.75% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.14% ( -0) | 70.86% ( 0.01) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.16% ( -0.01) | 15.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.97% ( -0.02) | 45.03% ( 0.02) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.62% ( 0.02) | 41.38% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.11% ( 0.02) | 77.89% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 12.07% 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.23% 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.13% Total : 60% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 0-0 @ 6.56% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 22.41% | 0-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.88% Total : 17.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
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