Eredivisie | Gameweek 18

Jan 23, 2021 at 5.45pm UK

GelreDome, Arnhem

Vitesse
1 - 0
Groningen

Bazoer (36')
Tannane (73'), Vroegh (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Messaoudi (45'), da Cruz (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and Groningen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 50.42%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 26.09% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	Groningen
50.42%	23.49%	26.09%

Both teams to score 57.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.66%

43.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.27%

65.73%

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.72%

17.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.38%

47.62%

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.86%

30.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.71%

66.29%

Score Analysis

Vitesse 50.42%

Groningen 26.09%

Draw 23.48%

Vitesse	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 9.63% 1-0 @ 9.14% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.63% 3-0 @ 4.7% 3-2 @ 3.38% 4-1 @ 2.47% 4-0 @ 2.06% 4-2 @ 1.48% Other @ 3.9% Total : 50.42%	1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 5.77% 0-0 @ 5.21% 3-3 @ 1.35% Other @ 0.19% Total : 23.48%	1-2 @ 6.58% 0-1 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 3.75% 1-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.5% Other @ 3.09% Total : 26.09%