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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Willem II had a probability of 32.96% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Willem II win was 2-1 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Groningen |
32.96% | 24.41% | 42.63% |
Both teams to score 59.08% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.4% | 43.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34% | 65.99% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.39% | 25.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.51% | 60.49% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% | 20.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.89% | 53.11% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Groningen |
2-1 @ 7.73% 1-0 @ 7.18% 2-0 @ 4.89% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-2 @ 2.78% 3-0 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.51% Total : 32.96% | 1-1 @ 11.34% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.27% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-1 @ 8.33% 0-2 @ 6.58% 1-3 @ 4.73% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 1.87% 0-4 @ 1.37% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.82% Total : 42.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 29 | 4 | 1 | 111 | 21 | 90 | 91 |
2 | Feyenoord | 34 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 92 | 26 | 66 | 84 |
3 | FC Twente | 34 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 69 | 36 | 33 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 65 |
5 | Ajax | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 56 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 68 | 51 | 17 | 53 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 50 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 51 | 48 | 3 | 49 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 46 | 1 | 46 |
10 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 38 |
11 | Heerenveen | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 45 | 67 | -22 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 33 | 59 | -26 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 33 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 56 | -18 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 50 | 73 | -23 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 88 | -54 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |