Eredivisie | Gameweek 31

Apr 25, 2024 at 5.45pm UK

Abe Lenstra Stadion

Heerenveen
0 - 8
PSV

FT(HT: 0-5)

Til (7', 30'), Tillman (9', 11'), Veerman (44'), Bakayoko (52'), de Jong (71'), van Aanholt (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heerenveen

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 0-2 Heerenveen
Sunday, April 14 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: PSV 6-0 Vitesse
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Heerenveen 1-3 PSV Eindhoven

PSV are streaking toward the title and are doing it in some style. They have been banging in goals for fun lately and now face a Heerenveen side that have shipped nine in their last three home games alone, which does not bode well for their chances in this match. We feel the champions-elect will notch up another big win in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 66.47%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Heerenveen had a probability of 16.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Heerenveen win it was 2-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
16.21% ( -0.51)	17.32% ( -0.19)	66.47% ( 0.71)

Both teams to score 64.81% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72.63% (

-0.06)

27.36% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.05% (

-0.08)

47.95% (

0.08)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.25% (

-0.59)

29.75% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.18% (

-0.72)

65.81% (

0.72)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.26% (

0.13)

7.74% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.45% (

0.32)

27.55% (

-0.32)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 16.21%

PSV Eindhoven 66.47%

Draw 17.32%

Heerenveen	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.41% Total : 16.21%	1-1 @ 7.14% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.42% Total : 17.32%	1-2 @ 9.14% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.79% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 6.43% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 4.99% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 4.11% ( 0.12) 2-4 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.05) 0-5 @ 2.1% ( 0.07) 2-5 @ 1.55% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) 1-6 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.32% Total : 66.47%