Europa Conference League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 18, 2024 at 8pm UK
Ulker Stadyumu Fenerbahce Sukru Saracoglu Spor Kompleksi
Olympiacos win 3-2 on penalties
We say: Fenerbahce 2-2 Olympiacos (Olmypiacos to win 5-4 on aggregate)
Judging by last week's contest, we can only predict goals for the reverse fixture. Fenerbahce will back themselves on home territory, yet we cannot see how they manage to keep their opponents out for the 90 minutes. With that in mind, we are backing a score draw, leading to Olympiacos progressing through to the last four.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 54.56% . A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 23.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.3% .
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (8.37%) . The likeliest Olympiacos win was 1-2 (6.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.27%) .
Result Fenerbahce Draw Olympiacos 54.56% ( 0.01) 22.26% 23.18% ( -0)
Both teams to score 58.76% ( -0.01)
59.43% ( -0) 40.56% ( 0)
37.05% ( -0) 62.94% ( 0)
85.16% ( 0) 14.83% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 69% ( -0.01) 31% ( 0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.69% ( -0.01) 67.3% ( 0.01)
Fenerbahce 54.56%
Olympiacos 23.18%
Draw 22.26%
Fenerbahce Draw Olympiacos 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.24% 3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 2.98% 4-0 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.14% 5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.03% Total : 54.56% 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.43% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.26% 1-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.39% 0-2 @ 3.15% 1-3 @ 2.35% 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 23.18%
How you voted: Fenerbahce vs Olympiacos
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