Europa League

Europa League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg

May 18, 2023 at 8pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
0 - 0
Roma

(Roma win 1-0 on aggregate)

Hincapie (45+3'), Palacios (56'), Bakker (70'), Diaby (90'), Tapsoba (90+7'), Alonso (90+8'), Frimpong (90+10')

Ibanez (70'), Cristante (89'), Abraham (90+9')

The Match

Match Report

Roma book their spot in the final of the Europa League courtesy of a 1-0 aggregate success over Bayer Leverkusen after a 0-0 semi-final second-leg draw.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Bologna 0-0 Roma
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.53%. A win for Roma had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Roma
45.53% ( 0.07)	27.07% ( -0.05)	27.4% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 47.7% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.95% (

0.16)

57.05% (

-0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.06% (

0.13)

77.94% (

-0.13)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75% (

0.11)

25% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.35% (

0.15)

59.65% (

-0.15)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.6% (

0.07)

36.4% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.81% (

0.07)

73.19% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 45.52%

Roma 27.4%

Draw 27.06%

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 12.61% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.52%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.06%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 27.4%