Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 32

Apr 29, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 1
AC Milan

Abraham (90+4')
Matic (24'), Ibanez (71'), Cristante (83')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Saelemaekers (90+7')
Tomori (16'), Krunic (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Roma and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Atalanta 3-1 Roma
Monday, April 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, April 23 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Though Milan were within touching distance of victory over Roma at San Siro, they ultimately had to settle for a point, and the sides may finish level again at the Olimpico. Neck-and-neck in the Serie A standings, they are closely matched this season - and the hosts are generally tough to beat on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 47.43%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 26.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	AC Milan
47.43% ( 0.05)	26.07% ( -0.02)	26.5% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.94% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.17% (

0.05)

53.83% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.71% (

0.04)

75.3% (

-0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.3% (

0.05)

22.69% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65% (

0.06)

56.35% (

-0.06)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.61%

35.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.84%

72.16% (

Score Analysis

Roma 47.42%

AC Milan 26.5%

Draw 26.07%

Roma	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.36% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.95% Total : 47.42%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.07%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 26.5%