Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Mar 12, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
3 - 4
Sassuolo

Zalewski (26'), Dybala (50'), Wijnaldum (90+4')
Smalling (9'), Matic (54'), Ibanez (73'), Camara (86')
Kumbulla (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Lauriente (13', 18'), Berardi (45+4' pen.), Pinamonti (75')
Lopez (50'), Ruan (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Real Sociedad
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 3-2 Cremonese
Monday, March 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Perhaps running out of steam amid a hectic fixture list - and with one eye on their trip to Spain next week - Roma could slip up against a club they have recently struggled to beat. Sassuolo are back to something like their fearless best so should expect to breach their hosts' miserly back line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.14%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Sassuolo
63.14% ( 4.57)	21.02% ( -1.53)	15.84% ( -3.04)

Both teams to score 50.07% (

-1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11% (

1.51)

45.89% (

-1.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.8% (

1.42)

68.2% (

-1.42)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.11% (

1.97)

13.89% (

-1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.68% (

3.75)

41.32% (

-3.75)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.15% (

-2.78)

41.85% (

2.78)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.7% (

-2.51)

78.3% (

2.51)

Score Analysis

Roma 63.13%

Sassuolo 15.84%

Draw 21.02%

Roma	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.82) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 1) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.43) 4-0 @ 3.68% ( 0.71) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.41) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.36) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.24) Other @ 2.71% Total : 63.13%	1-1 @ 10% ( -0.72) 0-0 @ 5.82% ( -0.38) 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.92% Total : 21.02%	0-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.76) 1-2 @ 4.35% ( -0.68) 0-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.53) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.21) Other @ 1.7% Total : 15.84%