Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 25

Feb 13, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Alberto Braglia

Sassuolo
2 - 2
Roma

Smalling (47' og.), Traore (73')
Marco Ferrari (19'), Lopez (45+3'), Berardi (45+3')
Marco Ferrari (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Abraham (45+1' pen.), Cristante (90+4')
Mancini (21'), Kumbulla (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Though both sides are in patchy form and will be affected by suspensions, the hosts are most impacted by having to remodel their dangerous attacking triumvirate. As they have also failed to fire on home turf several times this season, Sassuolo can be picked off by a Roma team desperate to recover from another tough week with a win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.86%) and 0-2 (5.62%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Roma
36.07%	23.51%	40.41%

Both teams to score 63.18%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.41%

38.58%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.11%

60.88%

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.45%

21.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.38%

54.61%

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53%

19.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.68%

51.32%

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 36.07%

Roma 40.41%

Draw 23.51%

Sassuolo	Draw	Roma
2-1 @ 8.09% 1-0 @ 6.44% 2-0 @ 4.94% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 3.39% 3-0 @ 2.53% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-2 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.07%	1-1 @ 10.53% 2-2 @ 6.62% 0-0 @ 4.19% 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.51%	1-2 @ 8.62% 0-1 @ 6.86% 0-2 @ 5.62% 1-3 @ 4.7% 2-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 3.06% 1-4 @ 1.92% 2-4 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.29% Total : 40.41%