Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 55.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 20.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.98%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Roma |
20.83% ( 0.01) | 23.34% ( -0.01) | 55.83% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.93% ( 0.05) | 48.07% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.76% ( 0.05) | 70.24% ( -0.05) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.61% ( 0.04) | 37.39% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.82% ( 0.04) | 74.18% ( -0.04) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.95% ( 0.02) | 17.04% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.8% ( 0.03) | 47.2% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 5.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.08% 3-1 @ 1.79% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 1.64% Total : 20.83% | 1-1 @ 11.09% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 11.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 9.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.88% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( 0) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2% Total : 55.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |