Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Solbakken (45')
Mourinho (34'), Smalling (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hien (28'), Ngonge (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salzburg 1-0 Roma
Thursday, February 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-0 Salernitana
Monday, February 13 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Roma 1-1 Hellas Verona

Surely a close-fought tussle is on the cards in Rome, as neither side gives much way at the back these days - and they rarely score more than once themselves. As Roma may be distracted by European commitments, and their star man appears to be unavailable, Verona can nick a point at the Olimpico and boost their survival hopes still further. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 13.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.61%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Roma	Draw	Hellas Verona
66.99% ( -0.64)	19.63% ( 0.09)	13.38% ( 0.55)

Both teams to score 48.37% (

1.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.09% (

0.87)

44.91% (

-0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.74% (

0.83)

67.26% (

-0.83)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.53% (

0.08)

12.46% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.58% (

0.16)

38.42% (

-0.16)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.26% (

1.41)

44.74% (

-1.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.28% (

1.11)

80.72% (

-1.11)

Score Analysis

Roma 66.98%

Hellas Verona 13.38%

Draw 19.63%

Roma	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.38) 1-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.4) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 8.39% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.13) 5-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.13% Total : 66.98%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.81% Total : 19.63%	0-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.28% Total : 13.38%