Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 0
Hellas Verona

Martinez (3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Dawidowicz (49'), Hien (53'), Sulemana (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Hellas Verona, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-1 Parma
Tuesday, January 10 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Hellas Verona 2-0 Cremonese
Monday, January 9 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Inter Milan 3-0 Hellas Verona

While no side has scored more Serie A goals than Inter before half time this season (19), Verona have conceded the most during the second half (20). Such a combination suggests a fast start for the hosts - if being taken to extra time in midweek does not hinder them too much - and surrender by the Scaligeri after the break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 73.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 9.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 3-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	Hellas Verona
73.97% ( 0.01)	16.17% ( -0)	9.86% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.59% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.59% (

-0.02)

38.41% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.3% (

-0.03)

60.7% (

0.03)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.08% (

-0)

8.91% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.53% (

-0.01)

30.46% (

0.01)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.35% (

-0.04)

46.65% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.78% (

-0.03)

82.22% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 73.96%

Hellas Verona 9.86%

Draw 16.17%

Inter Milan	Draw	Hellas Verona
2-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.86% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 4.04% Total : 73.96%	1-1 @ 7.67% 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 16.17%	0-1 @ 3.17% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.56% Total : 9.86%