Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 7.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.77%) and 1-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.47%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Bologna |
78.8% ( -0.21) | 13.67% ( 0.15) | 7.52% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.64% ( -0.5) | 34.35% ( 0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.73% ( -0.57) | 56.27% ( 0.57) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.06% ( -0.15) | 6.94% ( 0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.55% ( -0.4) | 25.45% ( 0.4) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.94% ( -0.2) | 49.06% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
16% ( -0.14) | 84% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Bologna |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 7.67% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.04) 6-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.2% Total : 78.79% | 1-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 13.67% | 0-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 7.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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