Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 12

Oct 31, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi

Hellas Verona
1 - 3
Roma

Dawidowicz (27')
Ceccherini (20'), Hongla (71'), Hien (81')
Dawidowicz (36')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Zaniolo (45+1'), Volpato (88'), El Shaarawy (90+2')
Cristante (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Hellas Verona and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hellas Verona

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 2-1 Hellas Verona
Monday, October 24 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: HJK Helsinki 1-2 Roma
Thursday, October 27 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Hellas Verona 1-2 Roma

We can envisage Roma earning a narrow victory against Verona on Monday, with Mourinho's men likely to be a little fatigued after their exploits in Finland on Thursday. Verona have scored in each of their last five defeats so it would be little surprise to see them do so once again here, but the visitors should have too much in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 19.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.53%), while for a Hellas Verona win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
Hellas Verona	Draw	Roma
19.37% ( 0.42)	22.23% ( 0.18)	58.4% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 53.14% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.68% (

-0.19)

45.32% (

0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.34% (

-0.18)

67.66% (

0.17)

Hellas Verona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.67% (

0.35)

37.33% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.88% (

0.34)

74.12% (

-0.35)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.8% (

-0.27)

15.2% (

0.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.16% (

-0.5)

43.84% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Hellas Verona 19.37%

Roma 58.39%

Draw 22.23%

Hellas Verona	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.37%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.23%	0-1 @ 10.69% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.06% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 6.32% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0) 0-4 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.93% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 58.39%