Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 6

Sep 12, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 2
Roma

Bandinelli (43')
Parisi (27'), Ismajli (60'), Akpa-Akpro (65')
Akpa-Akpro (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dybala (17'), Abraham (71')
Celik (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

Last Six:

Last Game: Ludogorets 2-1 Roma
Thursday, September 8 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
7	Juventus	6	5	10
8	Roma	5	1	10
9	Torino	6	0	10

Given Empoli's dire run at the Castellani, the timing of Roma's visit could not be better for the capital club - in theory, at least. They may not be at full tilt due to continental commitments, but the Giallorossi now possess enough firepower on the bench to finish the job if the game remains close later on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Roma
29.13% ( 3.01)	24.62% ( 0.68)	46.24% ( -3.69)

Both teams to score 56.42% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

-0.94)

46.24% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46% (

-0.9)

68.53% (

0.9)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.6% (

1.75)

29.4% (

-1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.61% (

2.09)

65.39% (

-2.09)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

-1.87)

20.08% (

1.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.68% (

-3.1)

52.32% (

3.1)

Score Analysis

Empoli 29.13%

Roma 46.24%

Draw 24.62%

Empoli	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.61) 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.57) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.35% Total : 29.13%	1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.62%	0-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 9.31% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 7.61% ( -0.62) 1-3 @ 4.98% ( -0.47) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.6) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0.32) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.36) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.88% Total : 46.24%