This is a crucial match for both of these sides, having both lost their opening two matches in Group H. With Leverkusen likely to run away with the group, they need to start making up ground on Qarabag sooner rather than later. As such, a draw is of little use to either side, so we expect to see an entertaining game play out in Norway. The visitors arrive in better form than Molde, so we can envisage Hacken claiming their first ever win in a European group stage game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.22%. A win for Hacken had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.72%) and 2-0 (5%). The likeliest Hacken win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.

Result
Molde	Draw	Hacken
46.22% ( -1.76)	21.25% ( -0.24)	32.54% ( 2)

Both teams to score 70.84% (

2.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.82% (

2.24)

28.19% (

-2.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.03% (

2.73)

48.97% (

-2.73)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

0.27)

13.1% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.28% (

0.55)

39.72% (

-0.55)

Hacken Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.52% (

2.14)

18.48% (

-2.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.32% (

3.48)

49.69% (

-3.48)

Score Analysis

Molde 46.22%

Hacken 32.54%

Draw 21.25%

Molde	Draw	Hacken
2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.37) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 5% ( -0.58) 1-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.63) 3-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.16) 4-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.26% Total : 46.22%	1-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.26) 0-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.34) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.25%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.35) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( 0.31) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.13) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.25) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.23) 3-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.18) Other @ 3.58% Total : 32.54%