Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Sep 21, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Tofik Bakhramov

Qarabag
1 - 0
Molde

Andrade (55')
Jankovic (84'), Medina (87'), Romao (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Breivik (20'), Ellingsen (34'), Andre Kaasa (47'), Eriksen (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Qarabag FK and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qarabag FK

Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Ljubljana
Thursday, August 31 at 5pm in Europa League

Molde

All competitions

Last Game: Molde 4-1 Odd
Saturday, September 16 at 5pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Molde lost all three of their away games in Champions League qualifying, and we think that trend could continue into Thursday's fixture when they face a Qarabag side who have avoided defeat in their last 12 UEFA home games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 45.1%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.

Result
Qarabag FK	Draw	Molde
30.3% ( -0)	24.6%	45.1% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.2% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.45% (

45.55% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.13% (

67.87% (

-0)

Qarabag FK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.75% (

-0)

28.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.04%

63.96% (

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71% (

0.01)

20.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35% (

0.01)

52.65% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Qarabag FK 30.3%

Molde 45.1%

Draw 24.59%

Qarabag FK	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.46% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.73% Total : 30.3%	1-1 @ 11.55% 2-2 @ 5.83% 0-0 @ 5.73% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.59%	1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.14% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.9% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.95% 0-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.84% Total : 45.1%