While Sturm Graz arguably boast more quality than their hosts and are more well-versed on the continental stage, Rakow will certainly be no pushovers, particularly in Poland, and we fancy them to score a first point from a low-scoring draw on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Rakow Czestochowa had a probability of 29.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.01%). The likeliest Rakow Czestochowa win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sturm Graz in this match.

Result
Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Sturm Graz
29.83% ( -0.04)	26.89% ( 0.02)	43.27% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 49.61% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.72% (

-0.11)

55.27% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.5% (

-0.09)

76.5% (

0.09)

Rakow Czestochowa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.44% (

-0.09)

33.55% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.8% (

-0.1)

70.19% (

0.1)

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.67% (

-0.04)

25.33% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.89% (

-0.05)

60.11% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Rakow Czestochowa 29.83%

Sturm Graz 43.27%

Draw 26.89%

Rakow Czestochowa	Draw	Sturm Graz
1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 29.83%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.01% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 43.27%