FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 2
Morecambe

Sorensen (14')
Eyoma (20'), Sorensen (57'), Hamilton (66')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mellon (43'), Bloxham (53')
King (21'), Tutonda (22'), Senior (62'), McKiernan (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Lincoln City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Barrow 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Morecambe

A total of 10 goals were scored across three meetings between Lincoln and Morecambe last season, with both teams netting on each occasion, and there could be plenty of goalmouth action once again this weekend. Despite their midweek defeat, the Shrimps remain in high spirts heading to Sincil Bank and will fancy their chances of coming out on top against the Imps, but we believe that the hosts will do enough to avoid a cup upset and progress to the second round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.92%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Morecambe
42.92% ( -0.05)	25.82% ( 0.13)	31.26% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 53.61% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.56% (

-0.6)

50.43% (

0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.63% (

-0.53)

72.36% (

0.52)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.64% (

-0.29)

23.36% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.67% (

-0.41)

57.33% (

0.41)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95% (

-0.36)

30.05% (

0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82% (

-0.43)

66.17% (

0.42)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 42.91%

Morecambe 31.26%

Draw 25.82%

Lincoln City	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.91%	1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.23% Total : 31.26%