Friendlies 1

Jun 6, 2024 at 5pm UK

Estadio Do Algarve

Gibraltar
0 - 0
Wales

De Haro (45+1'), Hankins (55')

Sheehan (28'), Crew (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Gibraltar and Wales, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gibraltar

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Gibraltar 0-2 Scotland
Monday, June 3 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	8	26	22
2	Netherlands	8	10	18
3	Greece	8	6	13
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	8	-41	0

Wales

All competitions

Last Game: Wales 0-0 Poland (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Turkey	8	7	17
2	Croatia	8	9	16
3	Wales	8	0	12
4	Armenia	8	-2	8
5	Latvia	8	-14	3

Having restricted Scotland for the first half of Monday's friendly, Gibraltar will be encouraged ahead of this contest. However, if Wales can open the scoring during the early stages, you would expect them to cruise to a morale-boosting win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 89.15%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-3 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 0-4 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Gibraltar	Draw	Wales
2.82% ( -0.02)	8.03% ( -0.04)	89.15% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 35.56% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.83% (

0.05)

29.17% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

49.81% (

0.06)

50.18% (

-0.06)

Gibraltar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

37.07% (

-0.1)

62.93% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

7.92% (

-0.05)

92.08% (

0.04)

Wales Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.92% (

0.01)

4.07% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.88% (

0.05)

17.12% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Gibraltar 2.82%

Wales 89.13%

Draw 8.03%

Gibraltar	Draw	Wales
1-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 2.82%	1-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 8.03%	0-3 @ 14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 13.13% 0-4 @ 11.2% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 7.17% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 5.19% ( -0) 0-6 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 3.32% ( 0) 1-6 @ 1.77% ( 0) 0-7 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.28% Total : 89.13%