Friendlies 1

Jun 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Stadion Slaski

Poland
3 - 1
Ukraine

Walukiewicz (11'), Zielinski (16'), Romanczuk (30')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Dovbyk (41')
Tymchyk (49'), Malinovskyi (56'), Talovierov (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Ukraine, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Poland

All competitions

Last Game: Wales 0-0 Poland (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group D Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	0	0	0
2	Netherlands	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Austria	0	0	0

Ukraine

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Germany 0-0 Ukraine
Monday, June 3 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Ukraine	0	0	0
2	Belgium	0	0	0
3	Romania	0	0	0
4	Slovakia	0	0	0

Although Ukraine may have benefitted from their outing on Monday, Poland will feel fresher and better prepared. All things considered, these two well-matched teams may cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw in Warsaw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Ukraine had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Ukraine win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.

Result
Poland	Draw	Ukraine
60.19% ( -0)	22.72% ( -0)	17.08% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 47.46% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.23% (

0.02)

50.77% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.34% (

0.02)

72.66% (

-0.02)

Poland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.52% (

16.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.81% (

0.01)

46.19% (

-0.01)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.82% (

0.02)

43.18% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.56% (

0.01)

79.44% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Poland 60.18%

Ukraine 17.08%

Draw 22.72%

Poland	Draw	Ukraine
1-0 @ 12.82% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0) 4-0 @ 3.13% 4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.13% 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.89% Total : 60.18%	1-1 @ 10.77% 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.76% Total : 22.72%	0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 17.08%