Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 34.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
34.24% ( -0.01)	25.63%	40.12% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.2% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

48.81%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09%

70.91% (

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.01)

27.33% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.21% (

-0.01)

62.78% (

0.01)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.96% (

0.01)

24.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.69% (

0.01)

58.31% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 34.24%

Jubilo Iwata 40.12%

Draw 25.62%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Jubilo Iwata
1-0 @ 8.52% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.41% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.43% 3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.98% Total : 34.24%	1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.57% 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62%	0-1 @ 9.37% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.66% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.67% 1-4 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.12%