Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 59.11%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Gamba Osaka win it was 1-2 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Gamba Osaka
59.11% ( 0.16)	20.95% ( -0.03)	19.94% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 58.52% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.33% (

-0.03)

38.67% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.03% (

-0.03)

60.97% (

0.04)

Cerezo Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.2% (

0.04)

12.8% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.88% (

0.08)

39.12% (

-0.07)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.12% (

-0.14)

32.88% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.54% (

-0.15)

69.46% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Cerezo Osaka 59.11%

Gamba Osaka 19.94%

Draw 20.95%

Cerezo Osaka	Draw	Gamba Osaka
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.75% Total : 59.11%	1-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 20.95%	1-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.94%