Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jubilo Iwata win with a probability of 41.94%. A win for Albirex Niigata had a probability of 32.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Jubilo Iwata win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Albirex Niigata win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Jubilo Iwata would win this match.

Result
Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Albirex Niigata
41.94% ( -0.06)	25.85% ( -0.02)	32.22% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 53.9% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.77% (

0.11)

50.23% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.81% (

0.09)

72.18% (

-0.1)

Jubilo Iwata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.24% (

0.02)

23.75% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.1% (

0.02)

57.9% (

-0.02)

Albirex Niigata Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

0.11)

29.31% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.72% (

0.13)

65.28% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Jubilo Iwata 41.93%

Albirex Niigata 32.22%

Draw 25.85%

Jubilo Iwata	Draw	Albirex Niigata
1-0 @ 10% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.52% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.93%	1-1 @ 12.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.85%	0-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.22%