Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 13.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.

Result
Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Sagan Tosu
67.24% ( 0.08)	19.21% ( -0.03)	13.54% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 50.27% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.37% (

-0.01)

42.62% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.97% (

-0)

65.03% (

Kawasaki Frontale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.27% (

0.02)

11.72% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.14% (

0.05)

36.85% (

-0.05)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.95% (

-0.09)

43.05% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.66% (

-0.07)

79.33% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Kawasaki Frontale 67.23%

Sagan Tosu 13.54%

Draw 19.21%

Kawasaki Frontale	Draw	Sagan Tosu
2-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 3.58% Total : 67.23%	1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 19.21%	0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.42% Total : 13.54%