MX23RW : Thursday, May 16 10:38:47| >> :300:86500:86500:
J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2024 at 7am UK
Ekimae Real Estate Stadium (Tosu)

Sagan Tosu
0 - 2
Tokyo Verdy


Ueebisu (17')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Kimura (20' pen.), Matsuhashi (90+7')
Onaga (51'), Vidotto (90+6'), Tsunashima (90')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Sagan Tosu and Tokyo Verdy.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reysol 1-1 Sagan Tosu
Sunday, April 28 at 7am in J1 League
Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 0-0 Avispa Fukuoka
Sunday, April 28 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tokyo Verdy win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tokyo Verdy win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tokyo Verdy would win this match.

Result
Sagan TosuDrawTokyo Verdy
30.86% (-0.228 -0.23) 25.93% (-0.146 -0.15) 43.21% (0.374 0.37)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.366 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97% (0.518 0.52)51.03% (-0.517 -0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.1% (0.451 0.45)72.89% (-0.45 -0.45)
Sagan Tosu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37% (0.105 0.11)30.62% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.13% (0.122 0.12)66.86% (-0.122 -0.12)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.52% (0.413 0.41)23.48% (-0.411 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.5% (0.592 0.59)57.5% (-0.591 -0.59)
Score Analysis
    Sagan Tosu 30.86%
    Tokyo Verdy 43.2%
    Draw 25.93%
Sagan TosuDrawTokyo Verdy
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.153 -0.15)
2-1 @ 7.3% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.03% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
3-1 @ 2.88%
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.025 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 30.86%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.19% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.047999999999999 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.93%
0-1 @ 10.41% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 8.93% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.55% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.32% (0.078 0.08)
0-3 @ 3.65% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.053 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.046 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.036 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 43.2%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1492324101429
2Machida Zelvia149232011929
3Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers148242317626
4Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa147252419523
5FC Tokyo146442523222
6Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka146441110122
7Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus147161616022
8Cerezo OsakaCerezo145541817120
9Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima134722014619
10Avispa Fukuoka144731313019
11Tokyo Verdy143922018218
12Kashiwa ReysolReysol134631415-118
13Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki144462120116
14Yokohama F MarinosYokohama124441717016
15Albirex Niigata144461721-416
16Jubilo Iwata144281821-314
17Sagan Tosu144282125-414
18Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare142571826-811
19Consadole SapporoConsadole142571226-1411
20Kyoto Sanga142391124-139


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!