KNVB Beker | Round of 16

Jan 16, 2024 at 7pm UK

Van Donge & De Roo Stadion

Excelsior
0 - 2
Groningen

FT(HT: 0-0)

Postema (72', 78')
Bacuna (67')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the KNVB Beker Round of 16 clash between SBV Excelsior and Groningen.

Form, Standings, Stats

SBV Excelsior

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: PSV 3-1 Excelsior
Saturday, January 13 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Groningen

All competitions

KNVB Beker

Last Game: Groningen 2-1 Jong Utrecht
Friday, December 22 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 51.86%. A win for SBV Excelsior had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.92%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest SBV Excelsior win was 2-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
SBV Excelsior	Draw	Groningen
26.39% ( 0.08)	21.74% ( 0.02)	51.86% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 64.37% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.21% (

-0.04)

34.78% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.24% (

-0.04)

56.75% (

0.04)

SBV Excelsior Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

0.03)

25.4% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

0.05)

60.21% (

-0.05)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.3% (

-0.05)

13.7% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.07% (

-0.09)

40.92% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

SBV Excelsior 26.39%

Groningen 51.86%

Draw 21.74%

SBV Excelsior	Draw	Groningen
2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 26.39%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.74%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.24% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 4.28% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.13% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 3.87% Total : 51.86%