Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.58%. A draw has a probability of 17.5% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 11.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.23%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (3.53%).
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
70.58% ( 1.73) | 17.47% ( -0.6) | 11.95% ( -1.13) |
Both teams to score 51.56% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.53% ( -0.08) | 38.47% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.24% ( -0.08) | 60.76% ( 0.08) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.27% ( 0.4) | 9.72% ( -0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
67.61% ( 0.92) | 32.38% ( -0.93) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.11% ( -1.85) | 42.88% ( 1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.81% ( -1.6) | 79.19% ( 1.6) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.43) 1-0 @ 9.72% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.48) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 5.13% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 4.34% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.9% Total : 70.57% | 1-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.26) Other @ 1.01% Total : 17.47% | 0-1 @ 3.53% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.14) Other @ 1.32% Total : 11.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |