La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla

Cadiz
0 - 1
Real Sociedad

Zaldua (45'), Perez (45+1'), Alejo (70'), Fali (85')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kubo (24')
Mendez (85'), Illarramendi (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Cadiz and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cadiz

Last Six:

Last Game: Cadiz 1-4 Atletico
Thursday, August 4 at 8pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
9	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0
10	Cadiz	0	0	0
11	Elche	0	0	0

Real Sociedad

Last Six:

Last Game: Bournemouth 1-2 Real Sociedad
Saturday, July 30 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0
18	Valencia	0	0	0

We said: Cadiz 1-2 Real Sociedad

Cadiz will certainly fight hard this season, particularly on home turf, in their bid to avoid another tight battle for survival, but we see them falling just short on Sunday. Even without Oyarzabal, La Real have more than enough to hurt their hosts, and, knowing the importance of a winning start, we back Alguacil's side to pick up all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.39%) and 1-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.

Result
Cadiz	Draw	Real Sociedad
29.04% ( 0.17)	28.77% ( 0.11)	42.19% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 44.03% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.84% (

-0.3)

62.16% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.14% (

-0.22)

81.85% (

0.22)

Cadiz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.12% (

-0.03)

37.87% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.35% (

-0.03)

74.65% (

0.03)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.87% (

-0.29)

29.13% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.94% (

-0.37)

65.06% (

0.37)

Score Analysis

Cadiz 29.03%

Real Sociedad 42.19%

Draw 28.76%

Cadiz	Draw	Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.67% Total : 29.03%	1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.76%	0-1 @ 13.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.39% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.19%