Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 59.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
59.22% | 23.25% | 17.52% |
Both teams to score 46.73% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.81% | 52.18% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.1% | 73.89% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.68% | 17.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.31% | 47.68% |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.52% | 43.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.31% | 79.69% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
1-0 @ 13.2% 2-0 @ 11.57% 2-1 @ 9.64% 3-0 @ 6.77% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.35% 5-0 @ 1.04% 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.55% Total : 59.22% | 1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 7.53% 2-2 @ 4.02% Other @ 0.71% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 6.27% 1-2 @ 4.58% 0-2 @ 2.61% 1-3 @ 1.27% 2-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.67% Total : 17.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |