La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2023 at 1pm UK

RCDE Stadium

Espanyol
1 - 1
Osasuna

Braithwaite (59')
Pierre-Gabriel (45+4'), Vidal (45+4')
Pierre-Gabriel (45+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Budimir (45')
Ezzalzouli (16'), Gomez (29'), Garcia (61'), Moncayola (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Espanyol and Osasuna, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Espanyol

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Almeria 3-1 Espanyol
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Osasuna

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Osasuna 0-1 Atletico
Sunday, January 29 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

A draw would not be the worst result for either side in this match, and we are finding it difficult to separate them here. Osasuna have only won twice on their travels this term, drawing four times, while Espanyol have already shared the points on three occasions at home, so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (10.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Espanyol	Draw	Osasuna
38.55% ( 0.22)	28.02% ( -0.01)	33.43% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.49% (

0.03)

58.51% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.91% (

0.02)

79.09% (

-0.02)

Espanyol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.56% (

0.15)

29.44% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.56% (

0.18)

65.44% (

-0.18)

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.32% (

-0.12)

32.68% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.77% (

-0.14)

69.23% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Espanyol 38.54%

Osasuna 33.43%

Draw 28.02%

Espanyol	Draw	Osasuna
1-0 @ 11.76% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.19% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 38.54%	1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.02%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.43%