La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Mar 19, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Getafe
2 - 0
Sevilla

El Haddadi (50'), Unal (90+5')
Suarez (22'), Villar (76'), Milla (81'), Alvarez (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Jordan (14'), Bade (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Cadiz 2-2 Getafe
Friday, March 10 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Fenerbahce 1-0 Sevilla
Thursday, March 16 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is a tough match for Sevilla off the back of a European fixture, particularly as Getafe are not losing too many at the moment despite their position in the table. It would not be a shock to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we just have a feeling that a tight game will finish all square on Sunday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Sevilla
40.6% ( 0.46)	28.75% ( -0.13)	30.64% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 44.73% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.39% (

0.34)

61.6% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.55% (

0.25)

81.44% (

-0.25)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.24% (

0.43)

29.76% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.17% (

0.52)

65.83% (

-0.52)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

-0.07)

36.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89% (

-0.07)

73.1% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Getafe 40.6%

Sevilla 30.64%

Draw 28.73%

Getafe	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 13.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 40.6%	1-1 @ 13.26% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.8% ( -0.14) 2-2 @ 4.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.73%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 30.64%