La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Feb 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Getafe
1 - 0
Valencia

Mayoral (82')
Dakonam (21'), Villar (30'), Flores (59'), Alvarez (73'), Alderete (76'), Mayoral (82'), Portu (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Duro (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Getafe and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Getafe

All competitions

Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, February 12 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Valencia

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Valencia 1-2 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, February 11 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

This is a very difficult match to call, as cases for both sides to win can be made. There has only been one draw in their last four meetings, but we are finding it difficult to separate them considering Getafe's issues at home and Valencia's troubles on their travels. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 40.62%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.09%) and 1-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result
Getafe	Draw	Valencia
30.1% ( 0.86)	29.28% ( 0.47)	40.62% ( -1.33)

Both teams to score 43.13% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.51% (

-1.25)

63.49% (

1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.18% (

-0.91)

82.82% (

0.91)

Getafe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.23% (

-0.02)

37.77% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.45% (

-0.02)

74.55% (

0.02)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.31% (

-1.38)

30.69% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.06% (

-1.67)

66.94% (

1.67)

Score Analysis

Getafe 30.09%

Valencia 40.61%

Draw 29.28%

Getafe	Draw	Valencia
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.69% Total : 30.09%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 11.59% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.28%	0-1 @ 13.69% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.87% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.31% Total : 40.61%