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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 2, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Valencia logo

Real Madrid
2 - 0
Valencia

Asensio (52'), Junior (54')
Nacho (33'), Benzema (45+5'), Asensio (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Diakhaby (60')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Thursday's La Liga clash with Valencia.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their La Liga clash with Valencia on Thursday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Real Madrid 0-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, January 29 at 8pm in La Liga

Valencia

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Valladolid 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, January 29 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Real Madrid 3-1 Valencia

 Valencia frustrated Real Madrid in the Spanish Super Cup earlier this month before ultimately losing on penalties, and another resilient performance across 90 minutes will be required if they are to have any chance of claiming a positive result on Thursday. Nevertheless, Los Blancos will be regarded as firm favourites to come away with maximum points and they should have enough quality in the final third to fire themselves to victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 14.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawValencia
66.84% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 18.93% (0.0019999999999989 0) 14.23% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.18% (0.087000000000003 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.25% (0.07 0.07)39.75% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.89% (0.073 0.07)62.11% (-0.07 -0.07)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.99% (0.01100000000001 0.01)11.01% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.7% (0.021999999999991 0.02)35.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (0.094000000000001 0.09)40.24% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (0.084 0.08)76.87% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 66.83%
    Valencia 14.23%
    Draw 18.93%
Real MadridDrawValencia
2-0 @ 10.78% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.93% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.22% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.98% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 3.29% (0.01 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.81% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.17%
Total : 66.83%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.43% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.93%
1-2 @ 4.05% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.84% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.23% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 14.23%

How you voted: Real Madrid vs Valencia

Real Madrid
82.6%
Draw
13.2%
Valencia
4.3%
258
Head to Head
Jan 11, 2023 7pm
Semi-Finals
Real Madrid
1-1
Valencia
 Real Madrid win 4-3 on penalties
Benzema (39' pen.)
Camavinga (28'), Nacho (109')
Lino (46')
Kluivert (31'), Comert (38'), Cavani (92'), Almeida (99')
Jan 8, 2022 8pm
Real Madrid
4-1
Valencia
Benzema (43' pen., 88'), Junior (52', 61')
Casemiro (14'), Militao (26'), Mendy (75')
Guedes (76')
Piccini (51'), Musah (58'), Cheryshev (84')
Sep 19, 2021 8pm
Valencia
1-2
Real Madrid
Duro (66')
Paulista (39')
Junior (86'), Benzema (88')
Casemiro (45+4'), Nacho (56'), Rodrygo (81'), Junior (90+2'), Camavinga (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 3.15pm
Real Madrid
2-0
Valencia
Benzema (12'), Kroos (42')

Guedes (27'), Racic (44'), Correia (46')
Nov 8, 2020 8pm
Valencia
4-1
Real Madrid
Soler (35' pen., 54' pen., 63' pen.), Varane (43' og.)
Soler (41'), Guillamon (84'), Domenech (86')
Benzema (23')
Marcelo (52'), Ramos (62')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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Scotland
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Thursday, June 20
 
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Slovenia
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5pm
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Denmark
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England
 
8pm
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Spain
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Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
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5pm
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Poland
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
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Netherlands
vs.
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Saturday, June 22
 
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
 
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
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8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
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8pm
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Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
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Albania
vs.
Spain
 
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
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Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
 
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
 
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
 
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
 
5pm
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Ukraine
vs.
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8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
 
8pm
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Georgia
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Portugal
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2nd Group A
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vs.
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vs.
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Friday, July 5
 
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Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
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vs.
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> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000
> European Championship 2024 overview


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