Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 23.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Almeria |
52.04% ( 0.82) | 24.38% ( -0.16) | 23.57% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 52.23% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.56% ( 0.04) | 49.44% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.52% ( 0.04) | 71.48% ( -0.04) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.03% ( 0.34) | 18.97% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.49% ( 0.57) | 50.5% ( -0.57) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.46% ( -0.57) | 35.54% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.69% ( -0.59) | 72.3% ( 0.59) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Almeria |
1-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.16% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.11% Total : 52.04% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.38% | 0-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 23.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |