Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 52.32%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
52.32% ( 0.73) | 26.81% ( 0.19) | 20.87% ( -0.92) |
Both teams to score 42.32% ( -1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.18% ( -1.44) | 60.82% ( 1.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.14% ( -1.09) | 80.85% ( 1.09) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.52% ( -0.29) | 23.48% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.49% ( -0.43) | 57.51% ( 0.43) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.31% ( -1.82) | 44.68% ( 1.81) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.32% ( -1.5) | 80.68% ( 1.5) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 15.2% ( 0.67) 2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.42% Total : 52.31% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.5% Total : 26.8% | 0-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.88% Total : 20.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |