Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 24.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (7.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
49.4% ( -0.87) | 25.7% ( 0.37) | 24.91% ( 0.5) |
Both teams to score 49.66% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.48% ( -1.05) | 53.51% ( 1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.97% ( -0.9) | 75.03% ( 0.9) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% ( -0.8) | 21.69% ( 0.8) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.16% ( -1.24) | 54.83% ( 1.24) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.41% ( -0.14) | 36.59% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.62% ( -0.14) | 73.37% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 9.27% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.29% Total : 49.39% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.01% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.82% Total : 24.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 36 | 23 | 4 | 9 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 36 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 36 | 10 | 11 | 15 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Rayo Vallecano | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 38 |
15 | Celta Vigo | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
17 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 32 |
R | Granada | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 37 | 70 | -33 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |