Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
63.97% | 22.15% | 13.88% |
Both teams to score 42.24% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% | 53.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% | 75.41% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.7% | 16.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.13% | 45.87% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.46% | 49.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.67% | 84.33% |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 14.64% 2-0 @ 13.28% 2-1 @ 9.33% 3-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.64% 4-0 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.98% 5-0 @ 1.32% 5-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.6% Total : 63.96% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 8.08% 2-2 @ 3.28% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.15% | 0-1 @ 5.67% 1-2 @ 3.61% 0-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 2.6% Total : 13.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |