La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 21, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio de Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 0
Real Madrid

Lopez (33')
Correia (30'), Kluivert (57'), Comert (70'), Mamardashvili (90+4'), Musah (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Modric (86'), Rodrygo (86')
Junior (90+7')

Vinicius Junior: 'Racism is normal in La Liga'

Vinicius Junior says that "racism is normal in La Liga" after suffering racist abuse in Real Madrid's 1-0 defeat to Valencia.

May 22, 00:04

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Valencia

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 1-2 Valencia
Sunday, May 14 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Man City 4-0 Real Madrid
Wednesday, May 17 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Valencia 1-1 Real Madrid

Real Madrid will be determined to bounce back from their disappointing performance and result against Man City, but Valencia are fighting for their lives towards the bottom and will enter this game in strong form. It would not be a surprise to see an away win here, but we believe that the points will be shared. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Valencia win was 2-1 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
31.95% ( -0.72)	24.49% ( 0.1)	43.57% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 58.41% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.68% (

-0.7)

44.31% (

0.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.31% (

-0.68)

66.69% (

0.69)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.43% (

-0.78)

26.57% (

0.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.21% (

-1.05)

61.79% (

1.05)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.54% (

-0.01)

20.46% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.08% (

-0.02)

52.92% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Valencia 31.95%

Real Madrid 43.57%

Draw 24.48%

Valencia	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.66% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.95%	1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.48%	1-2 @ 9.07% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.63% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 4.8% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.57%