League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
0 - 4
Shrewsbury

FT(HT: 0-2)

Saydee (1', 43'), Leahy (58' pen.), Dunkley (90+4')
Shipley (12'), Flanagan (70'), Pyke (86')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Sunderland
Saturday, January 7 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury may have lost their last four matches, but they have won their previous two meetings with Burton, and we think the visitors will continue their impressive head-to-head record by claiming a narrow victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
51.39% ( -0.04)	25.4% ( -0)	23.21% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 48.78% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.2% (

0.06)

53.8% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.73% (

0.05)

75.27% (

-0.05)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05% (

0.01)

20.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.3% (

0.01)

53.7% (

-0.01)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.71% (

0.08)

38.29% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.95% (

0.08)

75.05% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 51.39%

Shrewsbury Town 23.21%

Draw 25.4%

Burton Albion	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.9% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.46% Total : 51.39%	1-1 @ 12.03% 0-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.4%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 23.21%