League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 28, 2023 at 12.30pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
1 - 2
Bolton

Morgan (46')
Bonne (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Morley (4'), Charles (68')
Sheehan (83'), Sheehan (84'), Lee (72'), Trafford (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 2-0 Barnsley
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Bolton have won only one of their last four away games, and we think that they will be held to a draw by a Charlton side who are unbeaten in four home matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
32.28% ( 0.04)	25.72% ( -0.01)	42.01% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 54.35% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.34% (

0.05)

49.65% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.33% (

0.04)

71.67% (

-0.04)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

0.05)

28.98% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.12% (

0.06)

64.87% (

-0.06)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.53% (

0.01)

23.47% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.51% (

0.01)

57.48% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 32.28%

Bolton Wanderers 42.01%

Draw 25.72%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.22% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 32.28%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72%	0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.25% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.02% Total : 42.01%