League One

League One | Gameweek 24

Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Charlton

Bodin (20'), Taylor (24'), O'Donkor (82')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Leaburn (67')
Chin (45'), Leaburn (66'), Payne (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Oxford United and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Oxford Utd
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Peterborough
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Charlton Athletic

Both teams are struggling for form in the league, but the introduction of Holden may have a positive effect on the visitors after an opening draw, and we see them being boosted and ending their winless run on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 21.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Charlton Athletic
55.63% ( -0.08)	22.83% ( -0.06)	21.55% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 54.61% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98% (

0.42)

45.02% (

-0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63% (

0.4)

67.38% (

-0.4)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.97% (

0.12)

16.03% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.62% (

0.21)

45.38% (

-0.21)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.04% (

0.37)

34.96% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.3% (

0.39)

71.71% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 55.63%

Charlton Athletic 21.55%

Draw 22.82%

Oxford United	Draw	Charlton Athletic
1-0 @ 10.26% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.39% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 55.63%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 22.82%	0-1 @ 5.89% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 21.55%