League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Valley

Charlton
0 - 2
Bolton

Jones (78')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Williams (16'), Charles (21')
Baxter (77')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Charlton Athletic and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wycombe 2-4 Bolton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Charlton Athletic 2-2 Bolton Wanderers

Charlton manager Appleton ought to get the response he is after from his side this weekend, as the Addicks never have any trouble converting their chances at The Valley, as evidenced by their unrivalled home scoring record in the third tier. However, an equally ruthless Bolton side know a thing or two about overcoming adversity on the road, and a showdown that should certainly live up to the billing could end with the two managers accepting a point apiece after an end-to-end battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.84%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Charlton Athletic	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
35.52% ( -0.03)	23.82% ( -0)	40.65% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 61.92% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.81% (

0.02)

40.19% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.43% (

0.02)

62.57% (

-0.02)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.44% (

-0)

22.56% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.85% (

-0.01)

56.15% (

0.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.96% (

0.02)

20.04% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.75% (

0.04)

52.25% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Charlton Athletic 35.52%

Bolton Wanderers 40.65%

Draw 23.82%

Charlton Athletic	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 35.52%	1-1 @ 10.82% 2-2 @ 6.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.52% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.82%	1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.27% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 3.07% Total : 40.65%