League One

League One | Gameweek 29

Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 0
Cambridge

Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')

Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Cambridge United

Cambridge have been dismal on the road so far this season, but they were minutes away from claiming a draw against Oxford having drawn away to Charlton Athletic in Harris' first away match in charge. Exeter have improved at home lately, but remain in a difficult position in the table. As such, we can envisage Cambridge finally ending their winless streak on their travels on Saturday, and putting a sizeable gap between themselves and the relegation zone in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Cambridge United
51.51% ( 0.01)	24.65% ( -0.02)	23.84% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.72% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.73% (

0.12)

50.27% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78% (

0.11)

72.22% (

-0.11)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.5% (

0.05)

19.51% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.61% (

0.08)

51.39% (

-0.08)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.25% (

0.09)

35.75% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.48% (

0.09)

72.52% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 51.5%

Cambridge United 23.84%

Draw 24.65%

Exeter City	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 11.39% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.31% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 51.5%	1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.65%	0-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 23.84%