League One

League One | Gameweek 27

Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 1
Forest Green

Brown (75')
Nombe (51'), White (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garrick (54')
Stevenson (79')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Exeter
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Forest Green Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Forest Green 1-3 Port Vale
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Exeter City 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

Forest Green Rovers are in desperate need of a win after their recent results, but they are coming up against Exeter at completely the wrong time, with the hosts likely to be full of confidence after their recent victories. As such, we expect the Grecians to run out comprehensive 2-0 winners, extending their winning run to three games on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
53.8% ( -0.02)	23.92% ( 0)	22.28% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

-0.01)

48.83% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.07% (

-0.01)

70.93% (

0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.93% (

-0.01)

18.07% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.02% (

-0.01)

48.98% (

0.01)

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.6% (

0.01)

36.4% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.81% (

73.18% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 53.8%

Forest Green Rovers 22.28%

Draw 23.92%

Exeter City	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.8% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.43% Total : 53.8%	1-1 @ 11.37% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% 3-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.92%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.28%